Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.004285 0.004510 0.004741 0.004997 0.005271 0.005557 0.005878
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.003847 0.004177 0.004531 0.004938 0.005398 0.005900 0.006495
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.003572 0.003959 0.004386 0.004893 0.005483 0.006153 0.006975
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003349 0.003772 0.004248 0.004828 0.005520 0.006328 0.007352
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003243 0.003706 0.004238 0.004899 0.005709 0.006679 0.007946
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003117 0.003606 0.004176 0.004900 0.005804 0.006913 0.008400
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002990 0.003495 0.004094 0.004865 0.005848 0.007078 0.008767
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002852 0.003364 0.003978 0.004781 0.005820 0.007144 0.009003
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002736 0.003254 0.003882 0.004714 0.005808 0.007227 0.009259
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002662 0.003192 0.003843 0.004717 0.005884 0.007425 0.009679
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002522 0.003042 0.003685 0.004557 0.005735 0.007309 0.009649
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002464 0.002994 0.003657 0.004566 0.005810 0.007502 0.010066
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002450 0.003002 0.003701 0.004673 0.006027 0.007905 0.010820
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002371 0.002923 0.003629 0.004620 0.006018 0.007985 0.011096
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002302 0.002855 0.003567 0.004579 0.006022 0.008083 0.011400
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002230 0.002780 0.003495 0.004519 0.005997 0.008133 0.011632
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002208 0.002772 0.003512 0.004585 0.006153 0.008461 0.012324
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002165 0.002733 0.003485 0.004585 0.006213 0.008645 0.012791
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002113 0.002680 0.003437 0.004553 0.006224 0.008751 0.013133
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002047 0.002608 0.003359 0.004476 0.006162 0.008738 0.013271
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001991 0.002546 0.003295 0.004415 0.006122 0.008759 0.013466
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001958 0.002516 0.003274 0.004418 0.006179 0.008937 0.013947
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001878 0.002418 0.003155 0.004272 0.005999 0.008721 0.013706